The Secrets of Economic Indicators
Bernard Baumohl, 2005
3 rules for trading
- Know the calendar: markets react to the surprise versus forecast, not the number itself.
- Separate leading from lagging indicators.
- Expect revisions: the first print often changes.
3 key lessons
- Economic data is a map of the economy.
- Expectations and surprises drive the reaction.
- No single indicator works on its own.